Oscars 06: Pool percentages

Last year, the majority of DZ Oscar Pool players picked the eventual winners in the top six categories. The pool is dead accurate almost every year in the big categories, except when a surprise comes (Marcia Gay Harden, The Pianist, etc.). So this year, it looks like the frontrunners can rest easy. Most notable observations from the top three vote-getters in the top six categories: Crash isn't as much of a threat as people think, supporting actor is the tightest race, Joaquin has a slight edge over Heath in pursuit of PSH, Keira Knightley has zero chance to win, and Felicity is the closest challenger to the frontrunner in the acting categories. Here are the percentages (don't let the periods trick you; they're for spacing purposes):

BEST PICTURE.....................BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

80% Brokeback Mountain.........32% George Clooney
14% Crash..........................24% Giamatti / Gyllenhaal
3% Capote..........................19% Matt Dillon

BEST DIRECTOR...................BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

76% Ang Lee.......................53% Rachel Weisz
8% Clooney / Spielberg...........17% Catherine Keener
5% Bennett Miller..................14% Michelle Williams

BEST ACTOR.......................BEST ACTRESS

63% Philip Seymour Hoffman....59% Reese Witherspoon
17% Joaquin Phoenix.............29% Felicity Huffman
15% Heath Ledger................10% Judi Dench